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  SAVE - Spatial Analysis of Vulnerable Ecosystems


This work is funded by the European Commission DGXII, Contract no. F14PCT950015
 


OBJECTIVES
The objectives of the project fulfil at least two of the prime objectives of radioecology; the provision of basic information to allow the calculation of radiation dose to man via ingestion, and furthermore the management of the environment to reduce dose. Currently spatial variation in radioecological operative parameters which influence transfer to foodstuffs and man has been given little consideration.  Therefore predictions for ecologically distinct areas in Europe do not allow for changes in fluxes of radionuclides, such as radiocaesium.  The overall objectives of the proposed project are fulfilled by meeting the following project aims:

1. To quantify the variation in plant uptake of radiocaesium from major European soil types.

2. To integrate dynamic models of transfer of deposited radiocaesium to food products with spatially varying input information in a GIS.

3. To produce time-dependent maps for contamination of major food products, taking into account spatial variation in soil to plant transfer and land cover, for countries where data is adequate to do so.

4. To produce critical load maps showing deposition levels at which intervention levels will be exceeded for selected food products, for countries where data is adequate to do so.

5. To describe variation in general dietary habits, with special reference to the intake of radiocaesium, both between and within European countries, appropriate for radiation protection purposes.

6. To provide data on the extent of home-production and the collection or production of food from semi-natural ecosystems.

7. To compare the usefulness of countermeasures with regard to spatially varying parameters.

8. To provide a user-friendly system for decision makers which will allow them
            1) to identify the areas which are most vulnerable to radiocaesium deposition
            2) to identify priority areas for the application of countermeasures.

The proposal fulfils two specific objectives  (i) to collate appropriate data on transfer of radiocaesium
to food products to enable predictions of activity levels in foodstuffs, and (ii) to provide geographically based models in GIS to identify areas of Europe which are vulnerable to radiocaesium contamination, identifying operative parameters and supporting environmental restoration strategies.


BACKGROUND
Following deposition of fallout from a nuclear incident certain geographical areas producing particular food products will be more vulnerable to radioactive contamination than others.  Agricultural practices and land cover throughout Europe will have a large influence on the importance of such areas as sources of contaminated foodstuffs. Vulnerability will vary with the radioisotopes deposited, and can be quantified by deriving deposition levels beyond which contamination levels in food products will exceed intervention levels.

There is a requirement to provide methods by which the transfer and consumption of radiocaesium to food products can be quantitatively modified to take into account spatial variation in operative parameters which significantly affect overall transfer, such as soil type, land usage and dietary habits. The intention is to consider fluxes of radiocaesium through ecosystems to man, thereby allowing the total movement of radiocaesium through systems to be estimated, by taking into account factors such as the rates of production of foodstuffs and consumption. This will require the integration of spatially varying information on agricultural production, usage of foodstuffs and dietary habits with classical radioecological models. Spatial and temporal analyses of this information will be implemented  by combining dynamic models of radiocaesium behaviour with spatial databases of the input parameters to the models within Geographical Information Systems (GIS) . This will enable the identification of vulnerable areas where intervention limits are likely to be exceeded in the event of a nuclear accident. Vulnerable areas could be highly diverse and vulnerability can be defined using many criteria such as where:

The novel approach of combining information on the geographical variation in radiocaesium mobility, agricultural production and dietary habits will also allow estimation of the total amounts of radioactivity entering the foodchain, and consumed by man. In addition to predicting vulnerable areas we will also contribute to more accurate estimation of population doses. The intake of radiocaesium will be calculated on a  national basis, and for groups whose dietary habits may lead to especially high radiocaesium intakes.

SPATIAL MODELLING

In order to allow spatial predictions of 137Cs transfer to food products,  a novel, semi-mechanistic point model has been developed which estimates the 137Cs concentration of a range of agricultural crops from soil characteristics (exchangeable K and clay) through time. Transfer of radiocesium further up the food chain is described by a range of approaches, some novel, some taken from the existing literature. This point model is applied spatially using databases which contain the necessary model input values (eg. clay and exchangeable K). The link between the dynamic point model and the spatial databases is made via dedicated, user-friendly Windows based software. This allows the user to readily control a range of  features, such as  post-deposition management (countermeasures), to quickly generate a complex  contamination scenario. Results are presented as on-screen maps which can be interrogated in a variety of ways, in order to investigate particular aspects of radioactive contamination of the food-chain. For a more detailed description of SAVE-IT, click here


PARTNERS

Institute of Terrestrial Ecology (ITE), Cumbria, UK
Principal collaborator : Dr B.J. Howard

Katholik University of Leuven (KUL), Leuven, Belgium
Principal collaborator : Dr E. Smolders

Diputacion General de Aragon (DGA), Barcelona, Spain
Principal collaborator : Dr J.M.Gil

Forschunszentrum Fur Umwelt und Gesundheit (GSF), Munich, Germany
Principal collaborator : Dr G.M.Voigt

Norwegian Radiation Protection Authority (NRPA), Oslo, Norway.
Principal collaborator : Dr P. Strand

University of Nottingham (NU), Nottingham, UK
Principal collaborator : Dr N.M.J. Crout
 
 Any problems with this site or use of the software please email  save-it@nottingham.ac.uk