Environmental Modelling at Nottingham

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Argos-Strategy

Strategy is a model (based on our earlier work with the SAVE model) which spatial predicts contamination of the food chain for Cs, Sr, Pu and Am.

A feature of the model is extensive consideration of possible countermeasures to reduce dose.

Unlike SAVE the model was not originally available in a usuable form. However under support from the Norwegian Radiation Protection Authority STRATEGY has now been integrated into the ARGOS emergency management system. This system is in use in >10 countries and is maintained through an international consortium.

Argos couples a large number of spatial data sets, atmospheric dispersion models, and real-time meteorological inputs, with the food chain prediction capabilities of Strategy.

 

 

This paper gives an overview of the model and its application to case study areas in the UK and Spain.

Cox G, Beresford NA, Alvarez B, Oughton D, Kis Z, Eged K, Thørring H, Hunt J, Wright S, Barnett C, Gil J, Howard BJ, Crout NMJ (2005) Identifying Optimal Agricultural Countermeasure Strategies for a Hypothetical Contamination Scenario. Journal of Environmental Radioactivity. 83:383-397

[Download a pre-print pdf]

More extensive reports on the model formulation and case study application are also available in the form of project deliverables

[Model description report - pdf]

[Case study report - pdf]

Also the work formed part of a PhD thesis by Glen Cox which is available on line

[Glen Cox's PhD Thesis]