School of Economics

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Jesus Rodriguez

PhD Student,



I'm a PhD candidate in economics at University of Nottingham. My research interests are public economics, development, labor economics, economics of education, public policy, gender inequality and political economy.

I worked as a research assistant at the Wales Fiscal Analysis, a research unit within the Wales Governance Centre (WGC) at Cardiff University. In 2022, I completed an MRes in Advanced Economics at Cardiff University. In 2020, I completed an MITx Micromaster Program in Data, Economics, and Development Policy designed by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and the Abdul Latif Jameel Poverty Action Lab (J-PAL). In 2018, I received an MSc. in Economics from University of Warwick and a Master in Public Policy from IESA in 2012.

Expertise Summary

Before joining WGC, I worked as a research assistant for professor Elliott Ash from ETH Zurich, where I participated in several research projects on public finance and the intersection between law and economics. For instance, I conducted the replication files for the paper "Ideas have consequences: the impact of law and economics on American Justice" (joint with Suresh Naidu at Columbia and Daniel L. Chen at Toulouse) reject and resubmit in the Quarterly Journal of Economics. I also collected, organized and cleaned data on local tax revenues and budget information by county-year for the paper "Fiscal pressures and discriminatory policing: Evidence from traffic stops in Missouri" published in the Journal of Race, Ethnicity, and Politics (joint with Allison Harris at Yale University).

Research Summary

Evaluating tax expenditures in advanced and emerging economies: using text data & machine learning tools.

Past Research

Book Chapters

"Venezuela: Diagnosis of a Macroeconomic Collapse, 1980-2019" (with Jose Manuel Puente), forthcoming in "Venezuela en la encrucijada", Konrad Adenauer Foundation (2020)

"Venezuela, la révolution bolivarienne, 20 ans après" (with Jose Manuel Puente) University of Strasbourg, France (2019)


"Venezuela at the stage of macroeconomic collapse: A historical and comparative analysis" (with Jose Manuel Puente), Journal America Latina Hoy (2020).

This paper conducts a historical and comparative analysis of GDP for 192 countries over the period 1980-2018 using data from the IMF. Results show that Venezuela lost 49.32% of its total GDP in just five years (2014-2018). This negative performance represents the worst macroeconomic performance in magnitude and duration in Venezuela history (1950-2018), the worst in Latin America and the second worst in the world during the period 1980-2018.

Policy Briefings

This paper intends to quantify the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, lockdowns & social restrictions on mental health outcomes using the UKHLS, covering the pre-COVID-19 pandemic period (2009-19) and during-COVID-19 pandemic.

This briefing shows an overview of the main economic challenges the Welsh economy will face ahead of the Senedd election and shows the latest labour market outcomes and GDP performance for the countries and regions of the UK.

This blog evaluates the impact of Covid-19 on the Welsh labour market and points out the economic challenges facing the new Welsh Government after the Senedd election.

This blog explores the performance of the Welsh economy in terms of GDP growth rates during the pandemic and explores the medium-term economic outlook for Wales.

This blog analyses the latest data released by ONS to measure the labour market impact of covid-19 in Wales in terms of unemployment, jobs adverts and vacancies.

This piece describes which industries and occupations will be most affected by the new lockdown. We estimate that roughly 224,000 employees in Wales work in a sector that will be partially or entirely shut down due to the new firebreak lockdown.

This piece evaluates the impact of covid-19 on the Welsh economy by using business & labor force data. It also analyses how has government action mitigated the economic impact of Covid-19 & what latest mobility trends data suggest for Wales and the UK.

This briefing analyses data from Understanding Society and Labor Force Survey to determine the share of employees who can work from home in Wales pre-pandemic, and the potential of the Welsh economy for homeworking by industry and occupation.

Using Labor Force Survey data, this briefing investigates the groups and sectors in Wales most significantly affected by the current pandemic, based on a set of economic and demographic characteristics, such as age, gender, ethnicity, and income levels.

School of Economics

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