Simon Gosling

Contact

• workRoom A7 Sir Clive Granger Building
  University Park
  Nottingham
  NG7 2RD
  UK
• work0115 95 15437
• simon.gosling@nottingham.ac.uk

Teaching Summary

I convene and lecture on the following School of Geography modules:

• Global Climate Change (GEOL3002)
• Global Climate Change: Impacts, Adaptation and Mitigation (GEOL4005)
• Global Climate Change: The Scientific Basis (GEOL4006)
• Environmental Modelling (GEOG3028)

I lecture on the following School of Geography modules as part of the module teaching team:

• Earth and Environmental Dynamics (GEOL1002)
• Environmental Change (GEOL2001)

Research Summary

My main interests are in understanding the impacts of climate change on natural and human systems, and bridging the boundary between physical science and impact and policy-related areas.

Much of my current research investigates the potential impact of climate change on global- and catchment-scale hydrology and water resources. I am interested in understanding how average conditions and extremes (floods and droughts) might be affected by climate change. I apply a variety of climate and hydrological numerical models to achieve this. I also have strong interests in modeling the relationship between climate and human health; specifically, on the association between extreme temperature events (heat waves and cold snaps) and temperature-related mortality.

An emerging theme of my climate change impacts research is the investigation of the possible benefits of climate change mitigation policy. This typically involves comparing numerical simulations of climate change impacts under 'no policy' scenarios with various 'mitigation' scenarios where global greenhouse gas emissions are reduced via climate change mitigation policy.

A key element throughout all my research is exploring the inherent uncertainties in climate change impact projections, due to, for instance, uncertainties associated with the current state of science on climate modelling, hydrological modelling, and health modelling. I am interested in exploring novel ways to both consider and present these uncertainties for application in policy- and decision-making processes.

Selected Publications

• PORKKA M, VIRKKI V, WANG-ERLANDSSON L, GERTEN D, GLEESON T, MOHAN C, FETZER I, JARAMILLO F, STAAL A, TE WIERIK S, TOBIAN A, VAN DER ENT R, DÖLL P, FLÖRKE M, GOSLING SN, HANASAKI N, SATOH Y, MÜLLER SCHMIED H, WANDERS N, FAMIGLIETTI JS, ROCKSTRÖM J and KUMMU M, 2024. Notable shifts beyond pre-industrial streamflow and soil moisture conditions transgress the planetary boundary for freshwater change: Nature Water Nature Water.
• GUDMUNDSSON L, BOULANGE J, DO HX, GOSLING SN, GRILLAKIS MG, KOUTROULIS AG, LEONARD M, LIU J, MÜLLER SCHMIED H, PAPADIMITRIOU L, POKHREL Y, SENEVIRATNE SI, SATOH Y, THIERY W, WESTRA S, ZHANG X and ZHAO F, 2021. Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change Science. 371(6534), 1159-1162
• POKHREL Y, FELFELANI F, SATOH Y, BOULANGE J, BUREK P, GÄDEKE A, GERTEN D, GOSLING SN, GRILLAKIS M, GUDMUNDSSON L, HANASAKI N, KIM H, KOUTROULIS A, LIU J, PAPADIMITRIOU L, SCHEWE J, MÜLLER SCHMIED H, STACKE T, TELTEU C-E, THIERY W, VELDKAMP T, ZHAO F and WADA Y, 2021. Global terrestrial water storage and drought severity under climate change Nature Climate Change.
• THIERY W, LANGE S, ROGELJ J, SCHLEUSSNER C-F, GUDMUNDSSON L, SENEVIRATNE SI, ANDRIJEVIC M, FRIELER K, EMANUEL K, GEIGER T, BRESCH DN, ZHAO F, WILLNER SN, BÜCHNER M, VOLKHOLZ J, BAUER N, CHANG J, CIAIS P, DURY M, FRANÇOIS L, GRILLAKIS M, GOSLING SN, HANASAKI N, HICKLER T, HUBER V, ITO A, JÄGERMEYR J, KHABAROV N, KOUTROULIS A, LIU W, LUTZ W, MENGEL M, MÜLLER C, OSTBERG S, REYER CPO, STACKE T and WADA Y, 2021. Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes: Science Science.

• View all publications

Fellow of the Royal Meteorological Society, FRMetS

Fellow of the Royal Geographical Society, FRGS

Fellow of the Higher Education Academy, FHEA

• FRIELER K, VOLKHOLZ J, LANGE S, SCHEWE J, MENGEL M, DEL ROCÍO RIVAS LÓPEZ M, OTTO C, REYER CPO, KARGER DN, MALLE JT, TREU S, MENZ C, BLANCHARD JL, HARRISON CS, PETRIK CM, EDDY TD, ORTEGA-CISNEROS K, NOVAGLIO C, ROUSSEAU Y, WATSON RA, STOCK C, LIU X, HENEGHAN R, TITTENSOR D, MAURY O, BÜCHNER M, VOGT T, WANG T, SUN F, SAUER IJ, KOCH J, VANDERKELEN I, JÄGERMEYR J, MÜLLER C, RABIN S, KLAR J, VEGA DEL VALLE, ID, LASSLOP G, CHADBURN S, BURKE E, GALLEGO-SALA A, SMITH N, CHANG J, HANTSON S, BURTON C, GÄDEKE A, LI F, GOSLING SN, MÜLLER SCHMIED H, HATTERMANN F, WANG J, YAO F, HICKLER T, MARCÉ R, PIERSON D, THIERY W, MERCADO-BETTÍN D, LADWIG R, AYALA-ZAMORA AI, FORREST M and BECHTOLD M, 2024. Scenario setup and forcing data for impact model evaluation and impact attribution within the third round of the Inter-Sectoral Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP3a): Geoscientific Model Development Geoscientific Model Development. 17(1), 1-51
• PORKKA M, VIRKKI V, WANG-ERLANDSSON L, GERTEN D, GLEESON T, MOHAN C, FETZER I, JARAMILLO F, STAAL A, TE WIERIK S, TOBIAN A, VAN DER ENT R, DÖLL P, FLÖRKE M, GOSLING SN, HANASAKI N, SATOH Y, MÜLLER SCHMIED H, WANDERS N, FAMIGLIETTI JS, ROCKSTRÖM J and KUMMU M, 2024. Notable shifts beyond pre-industrial streamflow and soil moisture conditions transgress the planetary boundary for freshwater change: Nature Water Nature Water.
• KUNDA JJ, GOSLING SN and FOODY GM, 2024. The effects of extreme heat on human health in tropical Africa. International Journal of Biometeorology International Journal of Biometeorology.
• GNANN S, REINECKE R, STEIN L, WADA Y, THIERY W, MÜLLER SCHMIED H, SATOH Y, POKHREL Y, OSTBERG S, KOUTROULIS A, HANASAKI N, GRILLAKIS M, GOSLING SN, BUREK P, BIERKENS MFP and WAGENER T, 2023. Functional relationships reveal differences in the water cycle representation of global water models: Nature Water Nature Water. 1(12), 1079-1090
• KUMAR A, GOSLING SN, JOHNSON MF, JONES MD, ZAHERPOUR J, KUMAR R, LENG G, SCHMIED HM, KUPZIG J, BREUER L, HANASAKI N, TANG Q, OSTBERG S, STACKE T, POKHREL Y, WADA Y and MASAKI Y, 2022. Multi-model evaluation of catchment- and global-scale hydrological model simulations of drought characteristics across eight large river catchments: Advances in Water Resources Advances in Water Resources. 165, 104212
• VIRKKI V, ALANÄRÄ E, PORKKA M, AHOPELTO L, GLEESON T, MOHAN C, WANG-ERLANDSSON L, FLÖRKE M, GERTEN D, GOSLING SN, HANASAKI N, MÜLLER SCHMIED H, WANDERS N and KUMMU M, 2022. Globally widespread and increasing violations of environmental flow envelopes: Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 26(12), 3315-3336
• SATOH Y, YOSHIMURA K, POKHREL Y, KIM H, SHIOGAMA H, YOKOHATA T, HANASAKI N, WADA Y, BUREK P, BYERS E, SCHMIED HM, GERTEN D, OSTBERG S, GOSLING SN, BOULANGE JES and OKI T, 2022. The timing of unprecedented hydrological drought under climate change: Nature Communications Nature Communications. 13(1), 3287
• POKHREL Y, FELFELANI F, SATOH Y, BOULANGE J, BUREK P, GÄDEKE A, GERTEN D, GOSLING SN, GRILLAKIS M, GUDMUNDSSON L, HANASAKI N, KIM H, KOUTROULIS A, LIU J, PAPADIMITRIOU L, SCHEWE J, MÜLLER SCHMIED H, STACKE T, TELTEU C-E, THIERY W, VELDKAMP T, ZHAO F and WADA Y, 2021. Global terrestrial water storage and drought severity under climate change Nature Climate Change.
• REINECKE R, MÜLLER SCHMIED H, TRAUTMANN T, ANDERSEN LS, BUREK P, FLÖRKE M, GOSLING SN, GRILLAKIS M, HANASAKI N, KOUTROULIS A, POKHREL Y, THIERY W, WADA Y, YUSUKE S and DÖLL P, 2021. Uncertainty of simulated groundwater recharge at different global warming levels: a global-scale multi-model ensemble study Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.. 25(2), 787-810
• O′DONNELL EC, NETUSIL NR, CHAN FKS, DOLMAN NJ and GOSLING SN, 2021. International Perceptions of Urban Blue-Green Infrastructure: A Comparison across Four Cities Water. 13(4), 544
• GUDMUNDSSON L, BOULANGE J, DO HX, GOSLING SN, GRILLAKIS MG, KOUTROULIS AG, LEONARD M, LIU J, MÜLLER SCHMIED H, PAPADIMITRIOU L, POKHREL Y, SENEVIRATNE SI, SATOH Y, THIERY W, WESTRA S, ZHANG X and ZHAO F, 2021. Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change Science. 371(6534), 1159-1162
• GOSLING SN and SŁOWIŃSKA S, 2021. Biometeorology research in Europe: International Journal of Biometeorology International Journal of Biometeorology.
• DASGUPTA S, VAN MAANEN N, GOSLING SN, PIONTEK F, OTTO C and SCHLEUSSNER C-F, 2021. Impacts of climate change on combined labour productivity and supply The Lancet Planetary Health. 5(7), 455-465
• TELTEU CE, MÜLLER SCHMIED H, THIERY W, LENG G, BUREK P, LIU X, BOULANGE JES, ANDERSEN LS, GRILLAKIS M, GOSLING SN, SATOH Y, RAKOVEC O, STACKE T, CHANG J, WANDERS N, SHAH HL, TRAUTMANN T, MAO G, HANASAKI N, KOUTROULIS A, POKHREL Y, SAMANIEGO L, WADA Y, MISHRA V, LIU J, DÖLL P, ZHAO F, GÄDEKE A, RABIN SS and HERZ F, 2021. Understanding each other's models: an introduction and a standard representation of 16 global water models to support intercomparison, improvement, and communication Geoscientific Model Development. 14(6), 3843-3878
• SATOH Y, SHIOGAMA H, HANASAKI N, POKHREL YN, BOULANGE JES, BUREK P, GOSLING SN, GRILLAKIS M, KOUTROULIS AG, MÜLLER SCHMIED H, THIERY W and YOKOHATA T, 2021. A quantitative evaluation of the issue of drought definition: A source of disagreement in future drought assessments: Environmental Research Letters Environmental Research Letters.
• THIERY W, LANGE S, ROGELJ J, SCHLEUSSNER C-F, GUDMUNDSSON L, SENEVIRATNE SI, ANDRIJEVIC M, FRIELER K, EMANUEL K, GEIGER T, BRESCH DN, ZHAO F, WILLNER SN, BÜCHNER M, VOLKHOLZ J, BAUER N, CHANG J, CIAIS P, DURY M, FRANÇOIS L, GRILLAKIS M, GOSLING SN, HANASAKI N, HICKLER T, HUBER V, ITO A, JÄGERMEYR J, KHABAROV N, KOUTROULIS A, LIU W, LUTZ W, MENGEL M, MÜLLER C, OSTBERG S, REYER CPO, STACKE T and WADA Y, 2021. Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes: Science Science.
• BOULANGE J, HANASAKI N, SATOH Y, YOKOHATA T, SHIOGAMA H, BUREK P, THIERY W, GERTEN D, MÜLLER SCHMIED H, WADA Y, GOSLING SN, POKHREL YN and WANDERS N, 2021. Validity of estimating flood and drought characteristics under equilibrium climates from transient simulations: Environmental Research Letters Environmental Research Letters.
• THOMPSON JR, GOSLING SN, ZAHERPOUR J and LAIZÉ CLR, 2021. Increasing risk of ecological change to major rivers of the world with global warming: Earth's Future Earth's Future.
• DO HX, ZHAO F, WESTRA S, LEONARD M, GUDMUNDSSON L, BOULANGE JES, CHANG J, CIAIS P, GERTEN D, GOSLING SN, MÜLLER SCHMIED H, STACKE T, TELTEU CE and WADA Y, 2020. Historical and future changes in global flood magnitude – evidence from a model–observation investigation Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 24(3), 1543-1564
• KRYSANOVA V, ZAHERPOUR J, DIDOVETS I, GOSLING SN, GERTEN D, HANASAKI N, MÜLLER SCHMIED H, POKHREL Y, SATOH Y, TANG Q and WADA Y, 2020. How evaluation of global hydrological models can help to improve credibility of river discharge projections under climate change Climatic Change.
• VANDERKELEN I, LIPZIG NPM, LAWRENCE DM, DROPPERS B, GOLUB M, GOSLING SN, JANSSEN ABG, MARCE R, SCHMIED HM, PERROUD M, PIERSON D, POKHREL Y, SATOH Y, SCHEWE J, SENEVIRATNE SI, STEPANENKO VM, TAN Z, WOOLWAY RI and THIERY W, 2020. Global Heat Uptake by Inland Waters Geophysical Research Letters. 47,
• LANGE S, VOLKHOLZ J, GEIGER T, ZHAO F, VEGA I, VELDKAMP T, REYER CPO, WARSZAWSKI L, HUBER V, JÄGERMEYR J, SCHEWE J, BRESCH DN, BÜCHNER M, CHANG J, CIAIS P, DURY M, EMANUEL K, FOLBERTH C, GERTEN D, GOSLING SN, GRILLAKIS M, HANASAKI N, HENROT A-J, HICKLER T, HONDA Y, ITO A, KHABAROV N, KOUTROULIS A, LIU W, MÜLLER C, NISHINA K, OSTBERG S, MÜLLER SCHMIED H, SENEVIRATNE SI, STACKE T, STEINKAMP J, THIERY W, WADA Y, WILLNER S, YANG H, YOSHIKAWA M, YUE C and FRIELER K, 2020. Projecting Exposure to Extreme Climate Impact Events Across Six Event Categories and Three Spatial Scales Earth's Future. 8(12), e2020EF001616
• ZAHERPOUR Z, MOUNT N, GOSLING SN, DANKERS R, EISNER S, GERTEN D, LIU X, MASAKI Y, MUELLER SCHMIED H, TANG Q and WADA Y, 2019. Exploring the value of machine learning for weighted multi-model combination of an ensemble of global hydrological models. Environmental Modelling & Software.
• SCHEWE J, GOSLING SN, REYER C, ZHAO F, CIAIS P, ELLIOTT J, FRANCOIS L, HUBER V, LOTZE HK, SENEVIRATNE SI, VAN VLIET MTH, VAUTARD R, WADA Y, BREUER L, BÜCHNER M, CAROZZA DA, CHANG J, COLL M, DERYNG D, DE WIT A, EDDY TD, FOLBERTH C, FRIELER K, GERTEN D, GUDMUNDSSON L, HANASAKI N, ITO A, KHABAROV N, KIM H, LAWRENCE P, MORFOPOULOS C, MÜLLER C, SCHMIED, HM, ORTH R, OSTBERG S, POKHREL Y, PUGH TAM, SAKURAI G, SATOH Y, SCHMID E, STACKE T, STEENBEEK J, STEINKAMP J, TANG Q, TIAN H, TITTENSOR DP, VOLKHOLZ J, WANG X and WARSZAWSKI L, 2019. State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes Nature Communications. 10, 1-14
• DAWSON R, THOMPSON D, JOHNS D, WOOD R, DARCH G, CHAPMAN L, HUGHES P, WATSON G, PAULSON K, BELL S, GOSLING SN, POWRIE W and HALL J, 2018. A systems framework for national assessment of climate risks to infrastructure Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 376(2121), 1-19
• VELDKAMP TIE, ZHAO F, WARD PJ, DE MOEL H, AERTS JCJH, MÜLLER SCHMIED H, PORTMANN FT, MASAKI Y, POKHREL YN, LIU X, SATOH Y, GERTEN D, GOSLING SN, ZAHERPOUR J and WADA Y, 2018. Human impact parameterizations in global hydrological models improves estimates of monthly discharges and hydrological extremes: a multi-model validation study Environmental Research Letters. 13, 055008
• ZAHERPOUR Z, GOSLING SN, MOUNT N, SCHMIED HM, VELDKAMP TIE, DANKERS R, EISNER S, GERTEN D, GUDMUNDSSON L, HADDELAND I, HANASAKI N, KIM H, LENG G, LIU J, MASAKI Y, OKI T, POKHREL YN, SATOH Y, SCHEWE J and WADA Y, 2018. Worldwide evaluation of mean and extreme runoff from six global-scale hydrological models that account for human impacts Environmental Research Letters. 13, 065015
• WARTENBURGER R, SENEVIRATNE SI, HIRSCHI M, CHANG J, CIAIS P, DERYNG D, ELLIOTT J, FOLBERTH C, GOSLING SN, GUDMUNDSSON L, HENROT A, HICKLER T, ITO A, KHABAROV N, KIM H, LENG G, LIU J, LIU X, MASAKI Y, MORFOPOULOS C, MÜLLER C, SCHMIED HM, NISHINA K, ORTH R, POKHREL YN, PUGH T, SATOH Y, SCHAPHOFF S, SCHMID E, SHEFFIELD J, STACKE T, STEINKAMP J, TANG Q, THIERY W, WADA Y, WANG X, WEEDON GP, YANG H and ZHOU T, 2018. Evapotranspiration simulations in ISIMIP2a—Evaluation of spatio-temporal characteristics with a comprehensive ensemble of independent datasets: Environmental Research Letters Environmental Research Letters.
• GOSLING, SN, ZAHERPOUR, J, MOUNT, NJ, HATTERMANN, FF, DANKERS, R, ARHEIMER, B, BREUER, L, DING, J, HADDELAND, I, KUMAR, R, KUNDU, D, LIU, J, VAN GRIENSVEN, A, VELDKAMP, TIE, VETTER, T, WANG, X and ZHANG, X, 2017. A comparison of changes in river runoff from multiple global and catchment-scale hydrological models under global warming scenarios of 1 °C, 2 °C and 3 °C Climatic Change. 141, 577–595
• IRVINE, PJ, KRAVITZ, B, LAWRENCE, MG, GERTEN, D, CAMINADE, C, GOSLING, SN, HENDY, E, KASSIE, B, KISSLING, WD, MURI, H, OSCHLIES, A and SMITH, SJ, 2017. Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering Earth's Future. 5, 93-106
• MASAKI, Y, HANASAKI, N, BIEMANS, H, SCHMIED, HM, TANG, Q, WADA, Y, GOSLING, SN, TAKAHASHI, K and HIJIOKA, Y, 2017. Intercomparison of global river discharge simulations focusing on dam operation --- Part II: Multiple models analysis in two case-study river basins, Missouri-Mississippi and Green-Colorado Environmental Research Letters. 12, 055002
• HATTERMANN, FF, KRYSANOVA, V, GOSLING, SN, DANKERS, R, DAGGUPATI, P, DONNELLY, C, FLÖRKE, M, HUANG, S, MOTOVILOV, Y, BUDA, S, YANG, T, MÜLLER, C, LENG, G, TANG, Q, PORTMANN, FT, HAGEMANN, S, GERTEN, D, WADA, Y, MASAKI, Y, ALEMAYEHU, T, SATOH, Y and SAMANIEGO, L, 2017. Cross‐scale intercomparison of climate change impacts simulated by regional and global hydrological models in eleven large river basins Climatic Change. 141, 561-576
• VELDKAMP, TIE, WADA, Y, AERTS, JCJH, DÖLL, P, GOSLING, SN, LIU, J, MASAKI, Y, OKI, T, OSTBERG, S, POKHREL, Y, SATOH, Y, KIM, H and WARD, PJ, 2017. Water scarcity hotspots travel downstream due to human interventions in the 20th and 21st century Nature Communications. 8, 15697
• LIU, J, YANG, H, GOSLING, SN, KUMMU, M, FLÖRKE, M, PFISTER, S, HANASAKI, N, WADA, Y, ZHANG, X, ZHENG, C, ALCAMO, J and OKI, T, 2017. Water scarcity assessments in the past, present and future Earth's Future.
• LIU, X, TANG, Q, CUI, H, MU, M, GERTEN, D, GOSLING, SN, MASAKI, Y, SATOH, Y and WADA, YOSHIHIDE, 2017. Multimodel uncertainty changes in simulated river flows induced by human impact parameterizations Environmental Research Letters. 12(2), 025009
• ZHAO, F, VELDKAMP, TIE, FRIELER, K, SCHEWE J, OSTBERG, S, WILLNER, S, SCHAUBERGER, B, GOSLING, SN, SCHMIED, HM, PORTMANN FT, LENG, G, HUANG, M, LIU, X, TANG, Q, HANASAKI, N, BIEMANS, H, GERTEN, D, SATOH, Y, POKHREL, Y, STACKE, T, CIAIS, P, CHANG, J, DUCHARNE, A, GUIMBERTEAU, M, WADA, Y, KIM, H and YAMAZAKI, D, 2017. The critical role of the routing scheme in simulating peak river discharge in global hydrological models Environmental Research Letters. 12(7), 075003
• GOSLING SN, 2017. Additional new insights into biometeorology International Journal of Biometeorology. 1-2
• HATTERMANN, FF, VETTER, T, BREUER, L, SU, B, DAGGUPATI, P, DONNELLY, C, FEKETE, B, FLÖRKE, M, GOSLING, SN, HOFFMANN, P, LIERSCH, S, MASAKI, Y, MOTOVILOV, Y, MÜLLER, C, SAMANIEGO, L, STACKE, T, WADA, Y, YANG, T and KRYSANOVA, V, 2017. Sources of uncertainty in hydrological climate impact assessment: a cross-scale study Environmental Research Letters.
• FRIELER K, LANGE S, PIONTEK F, REYER CPO, SCHEWE J, WARSZAWSKI L, ZHAO F, CHINI L, DENVIL S, EMANUEL K, GEIGER T, HALLADAY K, HURTT G, MENGEL M, MURAKAMI D, OSTBERG S, POPP A, RIVA R, STEVANOVIC M, SUZUKI T, VOLKHOLZ J, BURKE E, CIAIS P, EBI K, EDDY TD, ELLIOTT J, GALBRAITH E, GOSLING SN, HATTERMANN F, HICKLER T, HINKEL J, HOF C, HUBER V, JÄGERMEYR J, KRYSANOVA V, MARCÉ R, MÜLLER SCHMIED H, MOURATIADOU I, PIERSON D, TITTENSOR DP, VAUTARD R, VAN VLIET M, BIBER MF, BETTS RA, BODIRSKY BL, DERYNG D, FROLKING S, JONES CD, LOTZE HK, LOTZE-CAMPEN H, SAHAJPAL R, THONICKE K, TIAN H and YAMAGATA Y, 2017. Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming – simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b) Geosci. Model Dev.. 10(12), 4321-4345
• GOSLING SN and ARNELL NW, 2016. A global assessment of the impact of climate change on water scarcity Climatic Change. 134, 371-385
• ARNELL NW, BROWN S, GOSLING SN, HINKEL J, HUNTINGFORD C, HUNTINGFORD C, LLOYD-HUGHES B, LOWE JA, OSBORN T, NICHOLLS RJ and ZELAZOWSKI P, 2016. Global-scale climate impact functions: the relationship between climate forcing and impact Climatic Change. 134, 475-487
• ARNELL NW and GOSLING SN, 2016. The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale Climatic Change. 134, 387-401
• ARNELL, NW, BROWN, S, GOSLING, SN, GOTTSCHALK, P, HINKEL, J, HUNTINGFORD, C, LLOYD-HUGHES, B, LOWE, JA, NICHOLLS, RJ, OSBORN, TJ, OSBORNE, TM, ROSE, GA, SMITH, P, WHEELER, TR and ZELAZOWSKI, P, 2016. The impacts of climate change across the globe: A multi-sectoral assessment Climatic Change. 134, 457-474
• DIXON PG, ALLEN M, GOSLING SN, HONDULA DM, INGOLE V, LUCAS R and VANOS J, 2016. Perspectives on the Synoptic Climate Classification and its Role in Interdisciplinary Research Geography Compass. 10(4), 147-164
• GOSLING, SN, HONDULA, DM, BUNKER, A, IBARRETA, D, LIU, J, ZHANG, X and SAUERBORN, R, 2016. Adaptation to climate change: a comparative analysis of modelling methods for heat-related mortality Environmental Health Perspectives.
• FENG, X, FOODY, G, APLIN, P and GOSLING, SN, 2015. Enhancing the spatial resolution of satellite-derived land surface temperature mapping for urban areas Sustainable Cities and Society. 19, 341-348
• FRIELER, K, LEVERMANN, A, ELLIOTT, J, HEINKE, J, ARNETH, A, BIERKENS, MFP, CIAIS, P, CLARK, DB, DERYNG, D, DOLL, P, FALLOON, P, FEKETE, B, FOLBERTH, C, FRIEND, AD, GELLHORN, C, GOSLING, SN, HADDELAND, I, KHABAROV, N, LOMAS, M, MASAKI, Y, NISHINA, K, NEUMANN, K, OKI, T, PAVLICK, R, RUANE, AC, SCHMID, E, SCHMITZ, C, STACKE, T, STEHFEST, E, TANG, Q, WISSER, D, HUBER, V, PIONTEK, F, WARSZAWSKI, L, SCHEWE, J, LOTZE-CAMPEN, H and SCHELLNHUBER, HJ, 2015. A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties Earth System Dynamics. 6(2), 447-460
• HONDULA DM, VANOS JK and GOSLING SN, 2014. The SSC: a decade of climate–health research and future directions International Journal of Biometeorology. 58, 109-120
• GOSLING SN, 2014. New insights into biometeorology International Journal of Biometeorology. 58, 101-102
• GOSLING SN, BRYCE EK, DIXON PG, GABRIEL KMA, GOSLING EY, HANES JM, HONDULA DM, LIANG L, MAC LEAN PAB, MUTHERS S, NASCIMENTO ST, PETRALLI M, VANOS JK and WANKA ER, 2014. A glossary for biometeorology International Journal of Biometeorology. 58, 277-308
• GOSLING SN, 2013. The likelihood and potential impact of future change in the large-scale climate-earth system on ecosystem services Environmental Science & Policy. 27, 15-31
• ARNELL, NW, LOWE, JA, BROWN, S, GOSLING, SN, GOTTSCHALK, P, HINKEL, J, LLOYD-HUGHES, B, NICHOLLS, RJ, OSBORN, TJ, OSBORNE, TM, ROSE, GA, SMITH, P and WARREN, RF, 2013. A global assessment of the effects of climate policy on the impacts of climate change Nature Climate Change. 3(5), 512-519
• THOMPSON JR, GREEN AJ, KINGSTON DG and GOSLING SN, 2013. Assessment of uncertainty in river flow projections for the Mekong River using multiple GCMs and hydrological models Journal of Hydrology. 486, 1-30
• ARNELL NW and GOSLING SN, 2013. The impacts of climate change on river flow regimes at the global scale Journal of Hydrology. 486, 351-364
• HAGEMANN S, CHEN C, CLARK DB, FOLWELL S, GOSLING SN, HADDELAND I, HANASAKI N, HEINKE J, LUDWIG F, VOSS F and WILTSHIRE AJ, 2013. Climate change impact on available water resources obtained using multiple global climate and hydrology models Earth Syst. Dynam.. 4(1), 129-144
• PIONTEK, F, MÜLLER, C, PUGH, TAM, CLARK, D, DERYNG, D, ELLIOTT, J, COLON-GONZALEZ, FJ, FLÖRKE, M, FOLBERTH, C, FRANSSEN, W, FRIELER, K, FRIEND, AD, GOSLING SN, HEMMING D, KHABAROV N, KIM H, LOMAS M, MASAKI Y, MENGEL M, MORSE A, NEUMANN K, NISHINA K, OSTBERG S, PAVLICK R, RUANE AC, SCHEWE J, SCHMID E, STACKE T, TANG Q, TESSLER Z, TOMPKINS A, WARSZAWSKI L, WISSER D and SCHELLNHUBER HJ, 2013. Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
• VAN HUIJGEVOORT MHJ, HAZENBERG P, VAN LANEN HAJ, TEULING AJ, CLARK DB, FOLWELL S, GOSLING SN, HANASAKI N, HEINKE J, KOIRALA S, STACKE T, VOSS F, SHEFFIELD J and UIJLENHOET R, 2013. Global multi-model analysis of drought in runoff for the second half of the twentieth century Journal of Hydrometeorology. 14, 1535–1552
• WARREN R, LOWE JA, ARNELL NW, HOPE C, BERRY P, BROWN S, GAMBHIR A, GOSLING SN, NICHOLLS RJ, O’HANLEY J, OSBORN TJ, OSBORNE T, PRICE J, RAPER SCB, ROSE G and VANDERWAL J, 2013. The AVOID programme’s new simulations of the global benefits of stringent climate change mitigation Climatic Change. 120(1-2), 55-70
• DAVIE JCS, FALLOON PD, KAHANA R, DANKERS R, BETTS R, PORTMANN FT, WISSER D, CLARK DB, ITO A, MASAKI Y, NISHINA K, FEKETE B, TESSLER Z, WADA Y, LIU X, TANG Q, HAGEMANN S, STACKE T, PAVLICK R, SCHAPHOFF S, GOSLING SN, FRANSSEN W and ARNELL N, 2013. Comparing projections of future changes in runoff from hydrological and biome models in ISI-MIP Earth System Dynamics. 4(2), 359-374
• SCHEWE J, HEINKE J, GERTEN D, HADDELAND I, ARNELL NW, CLARK DB, DANKERS R, EISNER S, FEKETE BM, COLÓN-GONZÁLEZ FJ, GOSLING SN, KIM H, LIU X, MASAKI Y, PORTMANN FT, SATOH Y, STACKE T, TANG Q, WADA Y, WISSER D, ALBRECHT T, FRIELER K, PIONTEK F, WARSZAWSKI L and KABAT P, 2013. Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.
• ELLIOTT J, DERYNG D, MÜLLER C, FRIELER K, KONZMANN M, GERTEN D, GLOTTER M, FLÖRKE M, WADA Y, BEST N, EISNER S, FEKETE BM, FOLBERTH C, FOSTER I, GOSLING SN, HADDELAND I, KHABAROV N, LUDWIG F, MASAKI Y, OLIN S, ROSENZWEIG C, RUANE AC, SATOH Y, SCHMID E, STACKE T, TANG Q and WISSER D, 2013. Constraints and potentials of future irrigation water availability on agricultural production under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.
• DANKERS R, ARNELL NW, CLARK DB, FALLOON PD, FEKETE BM, GOSLING SN, HEINKE J, KIM H, MASAKI Y, SATOH Y, STACKE T, WADA Y and WISSER D, 2013. First look at changes in flood hazard in the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project ensemble. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.
• PRUDHOMME C, GIUNTOLI I, ROBINSON EL, CLARK DB, ARNELL NW, DANKERS R, FEKETE BM, FRANSSEN W, GERTEN D, GOSLING SN, HAGEMANN S, HANNAH DM, KIM H, MASAKI Y, SATOH Y, STACKE T, WADA Y and WISSER D, 2013. Hydrological droughts in the 21st century, hotspots and uncertainties from a global multimodel ensemble experiment. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.
• GOSLING, SN, MCGREGOR, GR and LOWE, JA, 2012. The benefits of quantifying climate model uncertainty in climate change impacts assessment: an example with heat-related mortality change estimates Climatic Change. 112(2), 217-231
• SIMELTON E, FRASER EDG, TERMANSEN M, BENTON TG, GOSLING SN, SOUTH A, ARNELL NW, CHALLINOR AJ, DOUGILL AJ and FORSTER PM, 2012. The socioeconomics of food crop production and climate change vulnerability: a global scale quantitative analysis of how grain crops are sensitive to drought Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food. 4, 163-179
• FRASER EDG, SIMELTON E, TERMANSEN M, GOSLING SN and SOUTH A, 2012. “Vulnerability hotspots”: Integrating socio-economic and hydrological models to identify where cereal production may decline in the future due to climate change induced drought Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 170, 195–205
• GOSLING SN, MENDONCA T, BAKER J, STAPLETON S, BEGGAN A and SPEIGHT S, 2012. Sustainability - The Geography Perspective: Part I The University of Nottingham. ISBN 9780957437944.
• GOSLING SN, MENDONCA T, BAKER J, STAPLETON S, BEGGAN A and SPEIGHT S, 2012. Sustainability - The Geography Perspective: Part II The University of Nottingham. ISBN 9780957437951.
• GOSLING SN, ARNELL NW, 2011. Simulating current global river runoff with a global hydrological model: model revisions, validation and sensitivity analysis Hydrological Processes. 25, 1129-1145
• TODD MC, TAYLOR RG, OSBORN TJ, KINGSTON DG, ARNELL NW, GOSLING SN, 2011. Uncertainty in climate change impacts on basin-scale freshwater resources – preface to the special issue: the QUEST-GSI methodology and synthesis of results Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 15, 1035-1046
• GOOD, P, CAESAR, J, BERNIE, D, LOWE, JA, VAN DER LINDEN, P, GOSLING, SN, WARREN, R, ARNELL, NW and SMITH, S ET AL., 2011. A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part I: Understanding of future change in the large-scale climate system Progress in Physical Geography. 25(3), 281-296
• HADDELAND, I, CLARK, DB, FRANSSEN, W, LUDWIG, F, VOß, F, ARNELL, NW, BERTRAND, N, BEST, M, FOLWELL, S, GERTEN, S, GOMES, S, GOSLING, SN, HAGEMANN, S, HANASAKI, N, HARDING, R, HEINKE, J, KABAT, P, KOIRALA, S, OKI, T, POLCHER, J, STACKE, T, VITERBO, P, WEEDON, GP and YEH, P, 2011. Multimodel estimate of the global terrestrial water balance: setup and first results Journal of Hydrometeorology. 12(5), 869-884
• GOSLING SN, TAYLOR RG, ARNELL NW, TODD MC, 2011. A comparative analysis of projected impacts of climate change on river runoff from global and catchment-scale hydrological models Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 15, 279-294
• GOSLING, SN, WARREN, R, ARNELL, NW, GOOD, P, CAESAR, J, BERNIE, D, LOWE, JA, VAN DER LINDEN, P, O'HANLEY, JR and SMITH, SM, 2011. A Review Of Recent Developments In Climate Change Science. Part II: The Global-Scale Impacts Of Climate Change
• MET OFFICE (42 AUTHORS), 2011. Climate: Observations, projections and impacts Met Office, UK.
• GOSLING, SN, BRETHERTON, D, HAINES, K and ARNELL, NW, 2010. Global hydrology modelling and uncertainty: running multiple ensembles with a campus grid Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 368(1926), 4005-4021
• GOSLING SN, LOWE JA, MCGREGOR GR, PELLING M, MALAMUD BD, 2009. Associations between elevated atmospheric temperature and human mortality: a critical review of the literature Climatic Change. 92, 299-341
• GOSLING, SN, MCGREGOR, GR and LOWE, JA, 2009. Climate change and heat-related mortality in six cities Part 2: climate model evaluation and projected impacts from changes in the mean and variability of temperature with climate change. International Journal of Biometeorology. 53(1), 31-51
• MCGREGOR GR, PELLING M, WOLF T, GOSLING SN, 2007. The social impacts of heat waves Environment Agency. ISBN 978-1-84432-811.
• GOSLING, SN, MCGREGOR, GR and PÁLDY, A, 2007. Climate change and heat-related mortality in six cities part 1: model construction and validation. International Journal of Biometeorology. 51(6), 525-40