CeDEx
Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics

CeDEx workshop - Roberta Dessi (University of Toulouse)

Date(s)
Wednesday 8th October 2014 (14:00-15:00)
Description

Over-Confidence, Shame and Investments

Abstract: The available evidence from numerous studies suggests that overconfidence is a more important phenomenon in North America than in Japan. The pattern is reversed for shame, which appears to play a more important role among Japanese than North Americans. We develop a model that endogenizes these differences and examines their economic consequences. In addition, it yields novel implications for differences in overconfidence and behavior within countries. A crucial trade-off arises in the model between the benefits of encouraging improvement on existing activities and the benefits of promoting initiative and investment in new activities. Overconfidence and high sensitivity to shame emerge as substitute mechanisms to induce efficient investment decisions, generating a “North American" equilibrium with overconfidence and low sensitivity to shame, and a “Japanese" equilibrium with high sensitivity to shame and no overconfidence. The analysis identifies the costs as well as benefits of reliance on each mechanism, and welfare implications.

Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics

Sir Clive Granger Building
University of Nottingham
University Park
Nottingham, NG7 2RD

telephone: +44 (0)115 951 5458
Enquiries: jose.guinotsaporta@nottingham.ac.uk
Experiments: cedex@nottingham.ac.uk